Projections - Climanalyse

For each province over canada and each Regional Climate Model from CORDEX-NAM44 , we calculated the interannual anomaly over 1971-2000 and 2011-2100 periods compared with normal 1971-2000. In future condition (2011-2100), we used 6 simulations with rcp4.5 scenario and 9 simulations with rcp8.5 scenario. In historical condition, we used 9 simulations.
For each RCM, we calculated indices of extreme weather based on daily values of temperature and precipitation. We then estimate climatological change in future periods: 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 compared with historical 1971-2000 period.
Please first select a time period and then a province to display climate change projection. On scatter plot on right panel, you can change X-Axis and Y-Axis variables.

Frequency

The diagram shows the change in minimum and maximum temperature (°C) during the years 1971-2000 and 2011-2100 compared with normal 1971-2000. The blue line shows the ensemble mean of 6 RCM (Regional Climate Model) with RCP4.5 scenario. The red line shows the ensemble mean of 9 RCM (Regional Climate Model) with RCP8.5 scenario. The grey line shows the ensemble mean of 9 RCM (Regional Climate Model) under historical condition.